West Europe from space stock photo

Our People

Dr Ross Bannister

NCEO Research Fellow
Data Assimilation

Research interests

I am interested in inverse problems relating to the Earth system using data assimilation, which helps to infer valuable information about the environment, which might otherwise be difficult or impossible to measure directly.  Data assimilation combines models with measurements of things that can be observed.  I work on theoretical aspects of data assimilation including model error statistics and the general methodology.  I apply data assimilation to a range of models from simplified to complex, including weather models (to estimate the initial conditions) and chemical transport models (to estimate surface fluxes of trace gases).

Recent publications

EnviFlux (v1.0): a simplified surface flux inversion tool based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var). 2026-10-12

Model-resolution impacts on all-sky infrared radiance simulation and cloud-dependent observation errors over Indonesia. 2026-09-28

EnviFlux (v1.0): a simplified surface flux inversion tool based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var). 2026-09-24

Regularisation of the 4DEnVar Data Assimilation method for Calibration of Land Surface Models. 2026-03-23

Machine Learning-Driven Background Error Covariances for High-Resolution Data Assimilation. 2026-03-13

EnviFlux (v1.0): a simplified surface flux inversion tool based on four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var). 2026-03-10

A Reanalysis of the Arctic sea ice cover over the satellite era utilising summertime observations of SIT. 2026-02-23

Hybrid machine learning data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry. 2026-01-12

Hybrid machine learning data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry. 2025-11-15

Exploring a hybrid ensemble–variational data assimilation technique (4DEnVar) with a simple ecosystem carbon model. 2025-03

Exploring a hybrid ensemble–variational data assimilation technique (4DEnVar) with a simple ecosystem carbon model. 2025

Hybrid machine learning data assimilation for marine biogeochemistry. 2025

Inverse modelling for surface methane flux estimation with 4DVar: impact of a computationally efficient representation of a non-diagonal B-matrix in INVICAT v4. 2024-03-07

Variable-dependent and selective multivariate localization for ensemble-variational data assimilation in the tropics. 2024-02-12

Exploring a Hybrid Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation Technique (4denvar) with a Simple Ecosystem Carbon Model. 2024

Investigating ecosystem connections in the shelf sea environment using complex networks. 2024

Variable-Dependent and Selective Multivariate Localization for Ensemble-Variational Data Assimilation in the Tropics. 2024

The Hydro-ABC model (version 2.0): a simplified convective-scale model with moist dynamics. 2023-10-31

The effects of assimilating a sub-grid scale sea ice thickness distribution in a new Arctic sea ice data assimilation system. 2023-06

Inverse modelling for trace gas surface flux estimation, impact of a non-diagonal B-matrix. 2023-05-15

Ecosystem connections in the shelf sea environment using complex networks. 2023-04-17

Supplementary material to "Ecosystem connections in the shelf sea environment using complex networks". 2023-04-17

Simplified Kalman smoother and ensemble Kalman smoother for improving reanalyses. 2023-03-15

A satellite era reanalysis of the Arctic sea ice cover utilising year-round observations of sea ice thickness. 2023-02-22

The “Hydro-ABC model” (Vn 2.0): a simplified convective-scale model with moist dynamics. 2023-02-07

On the Stochasticity of Reanalysis Outputs of 4D-Var. 2023

Progress, challenges, and future steps in data assimilation for convection-permitting numerical weather prediction: Report on the virtual meeting held on 10 and 12 November 2021. 2023

Simplified Kalman smoother and ensemble Kalman smoother for improving reanalyses. 2023

The Hydro-ABC model (Version 2.0): A simplified convective-scale model with moist dynamics. 2023

The effects of assimilating a sub-grid-scale sea ice thickness distribution in a new Arctic sea ice data assimilation system. 2023

The effects of assimilating a sub-grid scale sea ice thickness distribution in a new Arctic sea ice data assimilation system. 2022-10-25

Utilising Cryosat-2 observations of the Arctic sea ice cover to produce a new Arctic sea ice reanalysis. 2022-03-27

Hybrid ensemble-variational data assimilation in ABC-DA within a tropical framework. 2022-03-18

Hybrid ensemble-variational data assimilation in ABC-DA within a tropical framework. 2022

Balance conditions in variational data assimilation for a high-resolution forecast model. 2021-08-03

Dynamically informed covariance modelling in data assimilation. 2021-03-03

The effects of assimilating a sub-grid scale sea ice thickness distribution in a new Arctic sea ice data assimilation system. 2021-03-03

Balance conditions in variational data assimilation for a high-resolution forecast model. 2021

The ABC-DA system (v1.4): a variational data assimilation system for convective-scale assimilation research with a study of the impact of a balance constraint. 2020-08-27

Response to referee 1. 2020-06-09

Response to referee 2. 2020-06-09

Response to short comment 1.. 2020-06-09

Supplementary material to "The “ABC-DA system” (v1.4): a variational data assimilation system for convective scale assimilation research with a study of the impact of a balance constraint". 2020-02-03

The “ABC-DA system” (v1.4): a variational data assimilation system for convective scale assimilation research with a study of the impact of a balance constraint. 2020-02-03

Techniques and challenges in the assimilation of atmospheric water observations for numerical weather prediction towards convective scales. 2020

The ABC-DA system (v1.4): A variational data assimilation system for convective-scale assimilation research with a study of the impact of a balance constraint. 2020

Improvements in forecasting intense rainfall: Results from the FRANC (Forecasting Rainfall exploiting new data Assimilation techniques and Novel observations of Convection) project. 2019

Response to editor. 2018-02-05

Response to reviewer 1. 2018-02-05

Response to reviewer 2. 2018-02-05

Methods of investigating forecast error sensitivity to ensemble size in a limited-area convection-permitting ensemble. 2017-11-20

Reply to Reviewer 1. 2017-08-27

Reply to Reviewer 2. 2017-08-27

The "ABC model" (Vn 1.0): a non-hydrostatic toy model for use in convective-scale data assimilation investigations. 2017-04-25

A review of operational methods of variational and ensemble-variational data assimilation. 2017-01

A review of operational methods of variational and ensemble-variational data assimilation. 2017

The ABC model: A non-hydrostatic toy model for use in convective-scale data assimilation investigations. 2017

How is the balance of a forecast ensemble affected by adaptive and non-adaptive localization schemes?. 2015-09

How is the balance of a forecast ensemble affected by adaptive and nonadaptive localization schemes?. 2015

Representation of model error in a convective-scale ensemble prediction system. 2014

A new floating model level scheme for the assimilation of boundary-layer top inversions: The univariate assimilation of temperature. 2012

A method for merging flow-dependent forecast error statistics from an ensemble with static statistics for use in high resolution variational data assimilation. 2011

Correlations of control variables in variational data assimilation. 2011

Ensemble prediction for nowcasting with a convection-permitting model – II: Forecast error statistics. 2011

Ensemble prediction for nowcasting with a convection-permitting model-I: Description of the system and the impact of radar-derived surface precipitation rates. 2011

Issues in the assimilation of the sources of a trace gas by inverse modelling. 2011

Issues in the assimilation of the sources of a trace gas by inverse modelling. 2011

Characterising the background errors for the boundary-layer capping inversion. 2010

Characterising the background errors for the boundary-layer capping inversion. 2010

The role of balance in data assimilation. 2010

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2008-03

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2008-03

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2008-03

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2008-03

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2008-03

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. I: Characteristics and measurements of forecast error covariances. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. I: Characteristics and measurements of forecast error covariances. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. I: Characteristics and measurements of forecast error covariances. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. I: Characteristics and measurements of forecast error covariances. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. I: Characteristics and measurements of forecast error covariances. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. II: Modelling the forecast error covariance statistics. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. II: Modelling the forecast error covariance statistics. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. II: Modelling the forecast error covariance statistics. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. II: Modelling the forecast error covariance statistics. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. II: Modelling the forecast error covariance statistics. 2008

A review of forecast error covariance statistics in atmospheric variational data assimilation. II: Modelling the forecast error covariance statistics. 2008

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2008

A regime-dependent balanced control variable based on potential vorticity. 2007-06

Can wavelets improve the representation of forecast error covariances in variational data assimilation?. 2007-02

Can wavelets improve the representation of forecast error covariances in variational data assimilation?. 2007-02

Can wavelets improve the representation of forecast error covariances in variational data assimilation?. 2007-02

Can wavelets improve the representation of forecast error covariances in variational data assimilation?. 2007-02

Can wavelets improve the representation of forecast error covariances in variational data assimilation?. 2007-02

Can wavelets improve the representation of forecast error covariances in variational data assimilation?. 2007

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2007

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2007

Modelling of forecast errors in geophysical fluid flows. 2007

Assimilation of stratospheric ozone from MIPAS into a global general-circulation model: The September 2002 vortex split. 2006

Assimilation of stratospheric ozone from MIPAS into a global general-circulation model: The September 2002 vortex split. 2006

Assimilation of ozone and water vapour into the unified model. 2005

Objective evaluation of the impact of ral GOME ozone profiles on met office 3D-VAR analyses. 2005

The role of the south-east Asian monsoon and other seasonal features in creating the 'tape-recorder' signal in the Unified Model. 2004

The role of the south-east Asian monsoon and other seasonal features in creating the 'tape-recorder' signal in the Unified Model. 2004

Evaluation of Envisat data using a NWP system: a vortex-centred view.. 2003

The method of least squares used to invert an orbit problem. 2003

The method of least squares used to invert an orbit problem. 2003

Spectral functions of half-filled one-dimensional Hubbard rings with varying boundary conditions. 2000

Spectral functions of half-filled one-dimensional Hubbard rings with varying boundary conditions. 2000

Contact details

0118 987 5123